Candidate Accountability Guide

FIVE-PILLAR FRAMEWORK (campaign scoring system)

Each candidate is scored against the five key campaign arguments:

Overall ratings: HIGH (aligned on 4-5 pillars) | MODERATE (2-3 pillars) | MIXED (split record) | LOW (0-1 pillars / opposed)

THE FOUR DECISIVE COUNCIL VOTES

A 2021 precedent, found via Task S's TMMIS sweep, July 2, 2026 — extends this pattern two years earlier than any other confirmed instance. At the same meeting where Council formally reiterated "its commitment to taking a housing first and human rights approach," Councillor Holyday moved a competing, carried amendment: "City Council adopt a goal of zero encampments." Councillor Joe Cressy moved a separate carried amendment at the same meeting: "City Council adopt a goal of ending chronic homelessness." ✅ [City of Toronto Council, direct primary source, item 2021.CC34.1: https://secure.toronto.ca/council/agenda-item.do?item=2021.CC34.1] Both amendments carried at the same meeting — not a vote Holyday lost, but two different councillors successfully attaching two different framings to the same underlying motion. This is qualitatively different from the dissent pattern in the four rows above (a losing "No" vote) — it's an early, on-the-record instance of Holyday advancing an enforcement-first framing successfully, three to four years before the pattern this table otherwise documents. Worth noting precisely: this doesn't extend the "sole dissenter" streak itself (this wasn't a dissent), but it does establish Holyday's specific policy position — "zero encampments" as the stated goal, distinct from "ending chronic homelessness" — as consistent and long-standing, not a recent development.

Source: City of Toronto official council voting records; corroborated by CBC Toronto, TorontoToday, Progress Toronto

MAYORAL RACE

Olivia Chow — Incumbent Mayor (seeking re-election)

Background: Mayor since June 2023 by-election; former MP (2006-2014); lifelong housing advocate.

Housing/Homelessness platform: - Champions HSCIS as her signature capital program ("This 10-year infrastructure strategy for shelters will allow the City to stabilize its emergency accommodations") - Led the 2024 people-first encampment protocol (EC13.8) - Primary City voice on COHB restoration — her Sept 26, 2025 letter to the Province documented the cliff: "$7.95M for 2026 vs $19.75M for 2025 and $38M for 2024" and demanded restoration to $54M (enabling 300 households/month to exit shelter) - Advocates for permanent provincial funding on IHAP and refugee claimant costs - Removed Brad Bradford from Planning & Housing Committee Dec 16, 2024

Key statements: - "You can't jail your way out of a homelessness crisis." - "There are 15,000 people who are homeless in Toronto… and the city only has capacity to house 12,000 of them." (PH23.3 meeting, July 24, 2025) - "COHB [is] the single most effective tool we have for freeing up beds in our shelter system so that more people can come indoors from streets and parks." (Sept 26, 2025 letter)

Five-pillar score: P1✅ P2✅ P3✅ P4✅ P5✅ — HOUSING ACCOUNTABILITY: HIGH

Brad Bradford — Challenger (ex-Ward 19 Beaches-East York)

Background: Urban planner; councillor 2018-2026; removed from Planning & Housing Committee Dec 2024; 8th in 2023 mayoral race; not re-standing for W19.

Housing/Homelessness platform: - Campaign framing: "Crime, Congestion, and Cost" — frames encampments as public safety failures - Website: "Parks that have become tent cities, unsafe for children and pets" - Original proposal: encampment clearing within 48 hours when within 200m of schools/playgrounds (MM34.4) — corrected a second time, July 2, 2026 — the first correction here (framing this as "narrowed to 50m") was itself wrong, caught by checking the official Council Decision text directly rather than trusting the earlier fix. The 200-metre scope was never removed. What Councillor Fletcher's carried amendment actually did: changed the timeline from 48 to 24 hours, and added a 50-metre prioritization tier — encampments within 200m are addressed on the 24-hour timeline, with those within the closer 50m treated as highest priority. Both numbers are part of the same adopted policy; it's a two-tier structure, not a boundary that shrank from 200m to 50m. Passed November 12-13, 2025. - No documented support for COHB, OW advocacy, or Housing First

Key votes: - EC7.7 (Nov 2023): Yes ✅ (supports HSCIS in principle) - EC13.8 (June 2024): No ❌ — one of two dissenters on people-first encampment protocol - PH23.3 (July 2025): No ❌ on final item; moved (lost) to strip Third St site entirely; "voted against every single shelter" — Progress Toronto ✅

Five-pillar score: P1❌ P2❌ P3❌ P4❌ P5⚠️/❌ — HOUSING ACCOUNTABILITY: LOW/OPPOSED

THE SEVEN HSCIS SHELTER-SITE WARDS — FULL PROFILES

Ward 2 — Etobicoke Centre | 3838 Bloor St W (women's shelter, 2029)

Stephen Holyday — Incumbent councillor (2014-present); not yet re-registered ⚠️ - The most consistent housing/shelter opponent on Council — sole or joint dissenter on all four major tracked votes - EX9.3 (HousingTO 65K target): No ❌ — sole dissenter on 24-1 vote - EC7.7 (HSCIS adoption): No ❌ — sole dissenter on 22-1 vote - EC13.8 (encampment protocol): No ❌ — one of two dissenters - PH23.3 (shelter sites): No ❌ — voted against every site; moved (lost) to reopen process 7-18 - Self-described fiscal conservative; opposes multi-unit housing in single-family neighbourhoods - No documented COHB, OW, or Housing First support - Five-pillar: ALL OPPOSED. ACCOUNTABILITY: LOW — 4-for-4 dissent record, the cleanest accountability contrast of any incumbent in this library

Jennifer Alexander — Challenger ⚠️ Housing position undocumented

Ward 3 — Etobicoke-Lakeshore | 66 Third St (seniors shelter, 2028-30)

Amber Morley — Deputy Mayor; incumbent (2022-present); not yet re-registered ⚠️ - Backed seniors shelter publicly: "I support the creation of a shelter at this site, which will serve unhoused seniors. I am working to ensure it is thoughtfully designed, responsibly operated, and shaped by the input of Etobicoke-Lakeshore residents" - Notes only one 40-bed women's shelter currently exists in the ward - EC7.7: Yes ✅ | EC13.8: Yes ✅ | PH23.3: Yes ✅ - Named in $1M resident lawsuit over site selection; maintains support - Advocates Housing First "across the full housing spectrum" - Five-pillar: P1✅ P2⚠️ P3✅ P4✅ P5✅ — ACCOUNTABILITY: HIGH

Ward 6 — York Centre | 1220 Wilson Ave (illness recovery shelter, 2028-30)

James Pasternak — Incumbent (2010-present); re-registered ✅ - Supports HSCIS in principle but opposed local site - EC7.7: Yes ✅ | EC13.8: Yes ✅ | PH23.3 final: No ❌; voted No on Wilson Ave site - Framing: "This is a zoning issue… just because some Members say the site is not right doesn't mean that they do not want to support the homeless" - High-value pressure target: gap between stated HSCIS support and actual local site vote - Five-pillar: P1⚠️ P2⚠️ P3⚠️ P4⚠️ P5 MIXED — ACCOUNTABILITY: MIXED

Irving Conroy — Challenger ⚠️ Housing position undocumented

Ward 8 — Eglinton-Lawrence | 2204-2212 Eglinton Ave W (adult shelter, 2028-30)

Mike Colle — Deputy Mayor for North York; incumbent (2018-present); re-registered ✅ - History of voicing community safety concerns but voting Yes - 2020 (on earlier midtown shelter controversy): "This has been a total screw-up, a total lack of communication, of informing people" - EC7.7: Yes ✅ | EC13.8: Yes ✅ | PH23.3: Yes ✅ — despite organized community petitions against Eglinton site - Five-pillar: P1⚠️ P2⚠️ P3⚠️ P4⚠️ P5✅ — ACCOUNTABILITY: MODERATE-HIGH

Challengers: Jason McDonald, Enzo Torrone, Daniel Trayes ⚠️ Housing positions undocumented

Ward 9 — Davenport | 1615 Dufferin St (youth shelter, 2027)

Alejandra Bravo — Chair, Economic & Community Development Committee; incumbent (2022-present); not yet re-registered ⚠️ - Among Council's strongest Housing First voices - Backed Dufferin youth shelter: "It's critical that youth have access to a safe roof over their head… Davenport is a place where we take care of one another" - Architected people-first encampment protocol (EC13.8) - On COHB: Toronto "immediately needs the provincial government to flow funds from the Canada-Ontario Housing Benefit, which would allow for people to leave the shelter for a permanent home" - EC7.7: Yes ✅ | EC13.8: Yes ✅ | PH23.3: Yes ✅ - Five-pillar: P1✅ P2✅ P3✅ P4✅ P5✅ — ACCOUNTABILITY: HIGH

No challengers confirmed at compile date ⚠️

Ward 18 — Willowdale | 68 Sheppard Ave W (Indigenous women's shelter, 2028-30)

Lily Cheng — Incumbent (2022-present); not yet re-registered ⚠️ - Welcomed Indigenous women's shelter: "In the past, shelters sometimes exist like islands within our community… we really need the community to be involved" - Posts careful, sympathetic encampment-response explainers - Opposed Cummer Ave supportive housing site (2022) on location/size grounds - EC7.7: Yes ✅ | EC13.8: Yes ✅ | PH23.3: Yes ✅ - Five-pillar: P1⚠️ P2⚠️ P3⚠️ P4⚠️ P5✅ — ACCOUNTABILITY: MODERATE-HIGH

Natik Yusifov — Challenger ⚠️ Housing position undocumented

Ward 20 — Scarborough Southwest | 2535 Gerrard St E (adult shelter, 2027)

Parthi Kandavel — Incumbent (by-election Nov 30, 2023); not yet re-registered ⚠️ - Self-described progressive but opposed both Scarborough-adjacent sites - EC7.7: Not yet elected | EC13.8: Yes ✅ | PH23.3 final: Yes ✅ but voted No on 2535 Gerrard and 1220 Wilson sites - Framing: "A lot of folks in Scarborough feel like the city is dumping on Scarborough again… Where we place them is the question" - High-value pressure target: supports HSCIS overall but voted against the shelter in his own ward - Five-pillar: P1⚠️ P2⚠️ P3⚠️ P4⚠️ P5 MIXED — ACCOUNTABILITY: MIXED

Challengers: Malik Ahmad, Ariel-Rachel Karokis, Philip Mills, Sharmina Nasrin, Mohammad Ali Reza ⚠️

ALL OTHER WARDS — SNAPSHOT PROFILES

PRO-HOUSING CHALLENGERS TO WATCH

MAINTENANCE INSTRUCTIONS

• Re-scrape after August 21, 2026 (nomination close)
• ~~Confirm EX9.3 vote tally~~ — done, 24-1 confirmed (see table above) — remove this line once a future pass reads it
• Update all ⚠️ housing positions as candidates publish platforms (Aug-Oct 2026)
• Confirm Frances Nunziata's and Nick Mantas's specific voting records on EC7.7/EC13.8/PH23.3 — currently genuinely unconfirmed (note: Nunziata's dual role as Speaker + Planning & Housing Vice-Chair is separately confirmed in MAIN_REF_002_Sources — that is not the same fact as her vote record on these three items, which remains open)
• Cross-reference with DERIV-003 questionnaire responses as they come in
• Score adjustments: positive for public COHB/$54M endorsement; negative for encampment clearance-first positions

Pairs with: DERIV-003 (Election Toolkit), DERIV-008 (Ward Tracker), DERIV-010 (Five Facts)